The “price of peace” for Israel’s potential normalization with Syria and Lebanon appears to be limited, with Foreign Minister Gideon Saar indicating on Monday that while Israel is interested in formal ties, the Golan Heights are non-negotiable. This sets a clear boundary for any concessions Israel is willing to offer.
Israel’s diplomatic overture comes as its leaders argue that Iran’s perceived weakening after this month’s 12-day war presents an opportunity for other countries in the region to forge ties. This follows a period of significant regional upheaval, including the Gaza conflict, Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon, and the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad in Syria.
Saar emphasized Israel’s desire to expand its “circle of peace,” while safeguarding its “essential and security interests.” This push for broader regional ties aligns with the 2020 Abraham Accords, which saw the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Morocco normalize relations with Israel, though these agreements were deeply unpopular in the broader Arab world.
However, a senior Syrian official, speaking anonymously, firmly stated that normalization efforts must be part of the comprehensive 2002 Arab Peace Initiative. This initiative calls for full Arab recognition of Israel in exchange for its complete withdrawal from occupied territories, including the Golan Heights, West Bank, and Gaza, and the establishment of an independent Palestinian state. Israel’s Foreign Minister, however, deemed conditioning normalization on Palestinian statehood “not constructive” and a threat to Israel’s security, illustrating the deep ideological chasm and the limited price of peace Israel is currently willing to pay.